Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 16.080052 18.268276 20.751604 23.800913 27.475164 31.799317 37.332762
2025-07-27 12.899540 15.544395 18.798381 23.168140 28.996599 36.674796 47.859600
2025-08-03 11.589431 14.548191 18.402085 23.928666 31.895568 43.383515 62.063025
2025-08-10 10.302647 13.319309 17.415785 23.587037 33.035088 47.685792 73.823352
2025-08-17 9.316359 12.336833 16.581745 23.247600 33.997373 51.781938 86.366227
2025-08-24 8.569391 11.586940 15.957401 23.079737 35.124522 56.302874 101.109421
2025-08-31 7.844987 10.786606 15.152178 22.486798 35.394593 59.310753 113.862418
2025-09-07 7.313215 10.216536 14.626765 22.258622 36.227738 63.516470 130.857830
2025-09-14 6.683602 9.442386 13.702962 21.234163 35.420188 64.247096 139.825400
2025-09-21 6.117775 8.724040 12.805052 20.149151 34.325285 64.133627 146.611656
2025-09-28 5.715810 8.234011 12.237088 19.584501 34.159180 66.015872 159.866273
2025-10-05 5.875627 8.647286 13.196670 21.909201 40.258197 84.029654 233.627244
2025-10-12 5.717550 8.542616 13.286510 22.655158 43.280487 95.892389 298.829706
2025-10-19 5.363050 8.086014 12.721880 22.050947 43.162971 99.364366 334.353527
2025-10-26 5.233133 7.998734 12.806424 22.763780 46.284206 113.303034 433.988377
2025-11-02 4.973489 7.669155 12.419039 22.443948 46.809098 119.534304 502.982936
2025-11-09 4.736809 7.364338 12.053003 22.126137 47.283883 125.847121 583.051094
2025-11-16 4.539581 7.116827 11.775465 21.968931 48.159810 133.980261 691.530940
2025-11-23 4.310675 6.799382 11.340830 21.413436 47.849330 137.710430 775.057007
2025-11-30 4.138036 6.573970 11.068928 21.199587 48.471761 145.411145 914.195633
2025-12-07 3.894932 6.208030 10.498168 20.238879 46.772367 143.092278 949.826919
2025-12-14 3.660796 5.848775 9.921998 19.220337 44.769410 138.974273 961.295952
2025-12-21 3.493246 5.605272 9.563803 18.689838 44.167291 140.861314 1053.916649